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§ · case study

Kids brand, BFCM up 420% on scheduled drops.

An archetype drawn from BFCM playbook work we have shipped for baby and kids brands. Six-week runway, twenty-three drops, $184K to $956K in peak-week revenue.

§ 01 · archetype · baby + kids brand

A DTC baby brand lifted BFCM peak-week revenue from $184K to $956K year-over-year.

One discount code on Black Friday is not a playbook. A playbook is a six-week drop runway that warms the email list, stages content, seeds creators, and lands peak-week traffic on a site that has been shipping to expect it. The brand's 2024 BFCM followed the usual one-code approach and did $184K. The 2025 rebuild shipped 23 drops across six weeks and landed at $956K on the same ad spend.

revenue lift
+420%

Year-over-year BFCM peak-week revenue. Flat ad spend; the growth came from list and from drop cadence.

email list
+38%

Growth during the six-week runway. Warm-up popup + creator referral codes drove 52K net-new subscribers before peak.

returning customer
+61%

Share of BFCM orders from returning customers, up from 34% prior year. Drop cadence trained the list to check back.

§ 02 · the challenge

One big discount on one big day leaves revenue on the table.

The 2024 BFCM ran the same playbook most small DTC brands run: a single 25-percent-off code, pushed via one Black Friday email, one Cyber Monday email, and a handful of boosted Meta posts during peak week. The site handled the traffic; the checkout held up; the discount code worked. Peak-week revenue came in at $184K, which was a 40-percent lift on a normal week. Serviceable. Not special.

The diagnostic for 2025 surfaced three issues. First, the list was warmer than the brand realized: 60 percent of the email subscribers had never made a purchase. The one-code Black Friday email was the only BFCM communication they had ever received; many had never been shown the product catalog outside of an ad. Second, the creator layer was untapped: the brand had three parent influencers on modest retainers, posting inconsistently, with no BFCM-aligned content plan. Third, the merchandising was static: the homepage showed the same best-sellers the week before BFCM as the week of.

The rebuild turned all three around. The six-week runway gave the list something new to see every few days. The creator plan shipped 18 coordinated posts in a two-week warm-up sequence. The merchandising rotated daily during peak week. Peak-week revenue grew 5.2x.

§ 03 · the drop calendar

Six weeks. Twenty-three drops. One peak.

Editorial six-week BFCM drop calendar with columns W-6 through W 0, each column holding 3 to 5 drops labeled with mono micro-labels like bundle, pre-sale, warm-up email, creator push, core sale, and final hours. Column W 0 has the most drops and a single amber orb marking peak.
Fig. 1 · the six-week runway · twenty-three drops, one BFCM
weeks -6 to -5

Warm-up.

Homepage pop-up for BFCM early-access list. Creator warm-up posts begin. "BFCM coming" non-promotional email series seeds anticipation.

weeks -4 to -3

Bundle drops.

Three themed bundles launched as limited-quantity drops (gift bundle, newborn starter, winter essentials). Early-access list gets 48-hour preview window.

weeks -2 to -1

Creator push.

18 coordinated creator posts across 6 creators. Each creator has unique discount code linked to affiliate commission. Posts land 10am ET, 6pm ET daily.

week 0 · thanksgiving

Pre-BFCM.

Thanksgiving-day email with "sneak peek" of Black Friday pricing. No live code yet; builds intent for 24h.

black friday

Core sale.

Site-wide sale live 6am ET. 4 emails spaced 4 hours apart, each highlighting a different collection. Homepage rotates every 6 hours.

cyber monday

Final hours.

Hourly countdown emails in the final 12 hours. Last-hour SKU spotlights on evergreen bestsellers. 31 percent of peak-week revenue comes from the final 24 hours alone.

§ 04 · the segmentation

Five list segments. Five timelines.

Not everyone sees the same email at the same time. Klaviyo flows segmented by five cohorts, each with distinct messaging and discount access windows.

segmentearly accessdiscount ceiling
VIP (lifetime value > $400)Wednesday before Thanksgiving35% + free gift
repeat customerThursday 6pm ET30%
first-purchase customerFriday 6am ET25%
non-buyer subscriberFriday 6am ET25% + welcome bundle
reactivation (dormant 180d+)Saturday30% + free shipping
§ 05 · the delta

Two years. One playbook.

Editorial before/after comparison showing BFCM 2024 revenue at $184K as a short bar and BFCM 2025 revenue at $956K as a much longer bar with amber endpoint, plus a +420% label and three stat blocks for email list growth 38 percent, AOV lift 22 percent, and returning customer rate 61 percent.
Fig. 2 · two years, one playbook · the delta
from the founder · archetype composite
"The playbook felt like a lot of work for something that used to be one email. The peak week answered the question."
Composite quote
Patterns from multiple DTC baby brand founder conversations
§ 06 · plan your BFCM

Planning your peak season?

We run BFCM playbook engagements starting 10 weeks before peak week. Audit + plan in weeks 1-2, implementation weeks 3-8, ship from week 9. Scoped quote in 48 hours.